Rio 2016 Mens basketball tournament – an analytics look – Day 2


After the 2nd day games at the Rio Olympics I wanted to share my overall analysis and lineup break downs.

Given the games played over the course of the last two days I found it interesting that while most teams competing so far made use of +15 different rotations whereas the European teams had much more decisive lineup structures as they mostly played with +10 rotational structures.

Another interesting note to consider is that over the course of the total 6 games played so far and the top 3 lineup structures while most teams played +15 min. Team USA opted to play their top 3 lineup for +20 min.

Day 2

Lithuania – Brazil 82-76

Simple Quarterly break down of the game:

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Brief notes of the game:

Surprise player for Brazil: LEANDRO BARBOSA

Surprise player for Lithuania: MANTAS KALNIETIS

Turning Point of the game: After trailing 27-17 at the end of the first quarter and 58-29 at halftime, Brazil put together an impressive comeback after the break to get within 75-71 on a basket by Leandro Barbosa. Lithuania were in trouble but Renaldas Seibutis fed Domas Sabonis in the low post and he scored while drawing a foul on the play with 1:19 left to play. He made the free-throw for a 78-71 cushion and Lithuania held on for the win.

The base stats that stood out: A memorable win might have been on the cards for Brazil had it not been for the fact that they shot just 2-of-14 three-point attempts and went 22-of-35 from the free-throw line. Meanwhile, Lithuania hit on 9-of-24 attempts from beyond the arc and knocked down 15-of-18 foul shots.  

The APB MVP: Paulius JANKUNAS by far with a strong effort and PER of +20

Key Stats:

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Lineup Analysis

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Croatia – Spain 72-70

Simple Quarterly break down of the game:

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Brief notes of the game:

Surprise player for Croatia: MARIO HEZONJA

Surprise player for Spain: VICTOR CLAVER

Turning Point of the game: With 1:35 remaining and Spain in front by two, Darko Planinic rebounded Krunoslav Simon’s missed three-pointer and scored to knot the contest at 67-67. Simon then stole a pass from Sergio Rodriguez and raced in for a two-point Croatia advantage.

The base stats that stood out: Five of Croatia’s 10 offensive rebounds came in the fourth quarter when they outscored Spain, 25-16.

The APB MVP: D. SARIC whom ended the game with a great challange blocking Pau Gasol with the attempt to send the game into overtime. 

Key Stats:

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Lineup Analysis

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Argentina – Nigeria 94-66

Simple Quarterly break down of the game:

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Brief notes of the game:

Surprise player for Nigeria: ALADE AMINU

Surprise player for Argentina: ANDREAS NOCIONI

Turning Point of the game: Scola converted a three-point play to open an 11-0 run for Argentina at the start of the game and which Nocioni capped off with a three-pointer. Sergio Hernandez’s side had a 50-31 stranglehold on the contest by half-time and the second half was little more than a procedure. 

The base stats that stood out: 3 minutes and 17 seconds. That’s how long Shane Lawal played for Nigeria after landing awkwardly while trying to grab a rebound. The big man left the court with a knee injury in the first quarter and didn’t return, thereby depriving the D’Tigers of one of their most physical players. The second one is the 15-of-34 three-point shooting display put on by Argentina. In comparison, Nigeria were 4-of-25 from beyond the arc.

The APB MVP: Facundo CAMPAZZO’s +24 PER performance

Key Stats:

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Lineup Analysis

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MSc. Ermay Duran

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