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I wish you were right. Partizan is my favourite to pull out a surprise out those 2nd placed teams. TAU weren't so impressive this season and they got tough opponents.
Fenerbahce did not impress me either. They use Solomon and that's it. I am not questioning the job that Tanjevic is doing but if they rely on one player I can't see them winning a single game. 2-0 for Montepaschi.
We will see Maccabi returning to the Final 4 this year. Although as you already posted Barca could extend the series.
Is it possible to defeat CSKA twice? I guess so. But you have to show something special. I can't see that from Olympiacos right now.
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I think OLY is capable of getting good results against CSKA , you know.. match ups are quiet good...