2nd Group Stage - Day 2

[vakasimo2]

[quote name='Raze Lupin' timestamp='1315607342' post='33740']

GROUP E SCENARIOS seem to go like this:





anything is possible.



for 1-2 places france and spain will compete. the winner is 1st, the loser 2nd



the rest will play for 3-4.



Lets take all odds



first case

Lithuania wins => ends up 3rd

Turkey wins=> ends up 4th



2nd case

Lithuania wins => ends up 3rd

Serbia wins=> ends up 4th



3rd case

Germany wins, Turkey wins

Germany 3rd, Lithuania 4th



4th case

Germany wins , Serbia wins

triple equality for Serbs, Lithuanians & Germans

up to now we have , Serbia - Germany +11, Lithouania - Serbia +10

so

Serbs are on +1 aggregate

and Lithuanians can afford to lose up to 10 pts.



[COLOR="Red"]Germany wins by 1 to 9 pts[/COLOR]



Lithuania +1 or more, Serbia +1, Germany -2 or more

and

Lithuania 3rd, Serbia 4th



So if Germany wins by 10 pts we have

Serbia +1, Lithuania 0, Germany -1 so Serbs 3rd, Lithuanians 4th



if germany wins by 11 or 12 pts

Serbs +1 , Germans 0 or +1 , Lithuanians -1 or -2 so Serbs are 3rd and Germans 4th



and last (sub)case

germans win by 13 or more

Germany +2 or more, Serbs +1 , Lithuanians - 3 or more



and Germany 3rd, Serbia 4th

[/quote]



I think yesterdays scores were good for turkey, because now turkey and lithuania are also wounded to play their best, grmany and serbia's death match mental superiority is nullified. Now I believe turkey will win , I think serbia is better but turkish gear (a kind of situation that turks come to edge of survival or death, we unexpectedly do extras, tkhis is not gloating we do strange jobs when we face our doom) will work this time. And lithuania's dangerous posiion will force them to do their best.



However if I weren't trkish I would want germany to qualify, they are so gentle and organized as a team , I watched nowitzki's interview after the match, his humble and mature style really impressed me, and yesterdays team play for them for the times they had noitzki at the bench has proven that they are a real team. It was a most deserved game for them. We?? If only we can shoot a little better against serbia.