2nd Group Stage - Day 2

[Raze Lupin]

GROUP E SCENARIOS seem to go like this:





anything is possible.



for 1-2 places france and spain will compete. the winner is 1st, the loser 2nd



the rest will play for 3-4.



Lets take all odds



first case

Lithuania wins => ends up 3rd

Turkey wins=> ends up 4th



2nd case

Lithuania wins => ends up 3rd

Serbia wins=> ends up 4th



3rd case

Germany wins, Turkey wins

Germany 3rd, Lithuania 4th



4th case

Germany wins , Serbia wins

triple equality for Serbs, Lithuanians & Germans

up to now we have , Serbia - Germany +11, Lithouania - Serbia +10

so

Serbs are on +1 aggregate

and Lithuanians can afford to lose up to 10 pts.



[COLOR="Red"]Germany wins by 1 to 9 pts[/COLOR]



Lithuania +1 or more, Serbia +1, Germany -2 or more

and

Lithuania 3rd, Serbia 4th



So if Germany wins by 10 pts we have

Serbia +1, Lithuania 0, Germany -1 so Serbs 3rd, Lithuanians 4th



if germany wins by 11 or 12 pts

Serbs +1 , Germans 0 or +1 , Lithuanians -1 or -2 so Serbs are 3rd and Germans 4th



and last (sub)case

germans win by 13 or more

Germany +2 or more, Serbs +1 , Lithuanians - 3 or more



and Germany 3rd, Serbia 4th