Wednesday has two great NBA Playoff games to hold our attention, the Rockets vs. The Jazz, and the Warriors vs. the Clippers.
At the time of writing this, Tuesday’s Game 5 action still hasn’t played out. So, we won’t be able to comment on those games beyond the fact that the best sportsbooks have the Raptors as -12 faves over the Magic, the Sixers -8.5 over the Nets, the Nuggets -5.5 over the Spurs and the Trail Blazers -4 over the Thunder.
Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets -8.5
Game 5 is important. Very important. They who win Game 5 typically go on to win the series.
Right now Houston is ahead 3-1 so if they win, it’s over for the Jazz. The Rockets are listed as -8.5 home favorites against Utah and the total has been set at 213 points. So far, around 62 percent of the public is backing the Rockets to blowout the Jazz and cover the number.
The Rockets hold a 2-1 advantage over the last three games. But, the combined scoring margin is just 104 to 102 over the three most recent meetings.
That said, it’s easy to see why people would be jumping on the Houston Rockets to blast the Jazz in Game 5. They are back at home and will be eager to put this one away, so they can get a couple of days of rest before taking on the winner of the Warriors-Clippers series.
Plus, the last two home mages we complete and total blowouts. Game 1 was 122-90 and Game 2 was 118 to 98. But, can the Jazz hang on by the skin of their teeth at the Toyota Center?
The crowd is going to be in this one, so it will be a tough environment. But, this is a do or die situation for the Jazz, so we could see them make this game closer than the other two games in Houston.
The Rockets are going to put up 120 or more and the Jazz will hit the 100 point mark. So, the OVER is the play here. You could double-down with a Rockets ATS win as well. But OVER is the safe play.
Los Angeles Clippers @ Golden State Warriors
Both the spread and total have massive lines attached to them. The OVER/UNDER is set at 235 and the Warriors are listed as -14 favorites!
Oddly enough, the public is all over the Warriors to cover 14 points, but has no faith in the total going OVER 235. 69 percent of the action on the total is going towards the UNDER, while 65 percent are backing GSW to stomp the playoff life out of the Clippers.
The Clippers looked like they might be able to change the landscape out west for a hot second (in Game 2), when they stole a game off of the Warriors. But, Golden State went down to LA and crushed the dreams of Clips fans all over SoCal.
They rebounded with a decisive 132 to 105 win in Game 3 and a solid 113-105 win at the Staples Center in Game 4.
Now, the Clippers are hanging by a thread. In the last six times that the Clippers have played the Warriors, they have only scored more than 105 points once. And that was the 135-point showing in Game 2.
For this reason, we should side with the public and back the UNDER. Golden State could put up 130 easily, but if the Clippers don’t put up more than 105, then the UNDER still pushes. If the Warriors stick to their averages at home, they’ll put up somewhere around 118-120. That leaves quite a bit of breathing room on that high total.
Take UNDER 135 before it dips to 133 or 134.