Home EuroLeague Final 4 Predictions (Kaunas 2023)

Final 4 Predictions (Kaunas 2023)

In the EuroLeague, four teams are currently neck and neck for the final four spots: Olympiacos, Real Madrid, Barcelona, and AS Monaco are my updated favorites to get to the Final Four in Kaunas on the 19th and 20th of May 2023. Let’s take a closer look at each team and their best players.

Olympiacos

For Olympiacos, Aleksandar Vezenkov is their top scorer, averaging 17.5 points per game, as well as contributing 1.8 assists, 7.1 rebounds, 1 turnover, and 1 steal per game. Kostas Papanikolaou and Moustapha Fall are also key players, with Papanikolaou averaging 8.9 points, 2 assists, and 3.2 rebounds per game, and Fall contributing 7.3 points, 2 assists, and 4.6 rebounds per game. Thomas Walkup and Kostas Sloukas round out the team’s best players, with Walkup averaging 7.8 points, 5.6 assists, and 2.6 rebounds per game, and Sloukas contributing 10.6 points, 6.2 assists, and 2.2 rebounds per game.

Real Madrid

For Real Madrid, Gabriel Deck is their top scorer, averaging 12 points, 2 assists, and 5.2 rebounds per game. Edy Tavares is also a key player, with 10.7 points, 1.5 assists, and 6.6 rebounds per game. Dzanan Musa is another strong contributor, averaging 15.3 points, 2.7 assists, and 2.9 rebounds per game. Sergio Rodriguez and Sergio Llull are the floor chiefs, with Rodriguez averaging 4 points, 4.1 assists, and 1.5 rebounds per game, and Llull contributing 6.7 points, 2.4 assists, and 1.4 rebounds per game. Mario Hezonja and Rudy Fernandez are the team’s shooting guards, with Hezonja averaging 9.7 points, 1.1 assists, and 2.4 rebounds per game, and Fernandez contributing 4.6 points, 2.1 assists, and 2 rebounds per game. Guerschon Yabusele and Vincent Poirier are focused on defense, with Yabusele averaging 9.2 points, 1.1 assists, and 3.8 rebounds per game, and Poirier contributing 5.8 points, 0.6 assists, and 4 rebounds per game. Petr Cornelie, Nigel Cole Williams-Goss, Adam Hanga, Fabien Causeur, and Alberto Abalde round out the team’s crew.

Barcelona

For Barcelona, Tomas Satoransky is their top scorer, averaging 9 points, 4.5 assists, and 3.7 rebounds per game. Nikola Mirotic is also a key player, with 16.3 points, 1.3 assists, and 4.6 rebounds per game. Nicolas Laprovittola is another strong contributor, averaging 11.3 points, 4.7 assists, and 2.2 rebounds per game. Rokas Jokubaitis is the team’s floor chief, with 5.2 points, 2.3 assists, and 1.7 rebounds per game. Alex Abrines is the team’s shooting guard, with 7 points, 0.7 assists, and 1.9 rebounds per game. Nikola Kalinic is focused on team play, with 6.8 points, 1.8 assists, and 3.6 rebounds per game. Jan Vesely is responsible for easy baskets, with 9.1 points, 1.5 assists, and

Analyzing the statistics of the teams’ best players, Olympiacos seems to have a more balanced team, with four players averaging at least 7 points and 2 rebounds per game. Aleksandar Vezenkov is their top scorer with 17.5 points per game, while Kostas Sloukas is the team’s playmaker, averaging 6.2 assists per game. Moustapha Fall is their best rebounder, averaging 4.6 rebounds per game.

Real Madrid also has a well-rounded team, with several players contributing in different areas. Dzanan Musa is their top scorer with 15.3 points per game, while Edy Tavares is their best rebounder, averaging 6.6 rebounds per game. Sergio Rodriguez and Sergio Llull are the team’s floor chiefs, with Rodriguez averaging 4.1 assists per game and Llull contributing 2.4 assists per game.

Barcelona has Nikola Mirotic as their top scorer, averaging 16.3 points per game. Tomas Satoransky is their floor chief, averaging 4.5 assists per game, while Rokas Jokubaitis is a solid backup, contributing 2.3 assists per game. Nicolas Laprovittola is another key player for Barcelona, with 11.3 points and 4.7 assists per game.

AS Monaco

Finally, AS Monaco has several key players, including Mike James, their top scorer and playmaker, averaging 16.4 points and 4.7 assists per game, respectively. Elie Okobo is another key contributor, with 12.7 points and 3.6 assists per game, while Alpha Diallo is their best rebounder, averaging 4.3 rebounds per game.

Overall, it is difficult to predict the outcome of the EuroLeague playoffs, as all four teams have talented players and a solid game plan. It will come down to execution and who can perform under pressure.

The fact that all four teams, Olympiacos, Real Madrid, Barcelona, and AS Monaco, are predicted to make the Final Four in Kaunas 2023 by basketdatascouting.com is a strong indication of their consistent performance throughout the season. Based on the one million simulations conducted on all the remaining games of the regular season as of March 30, 2023, these teams have shown a level of dominance that sets them apart from their competitors.

Hot Take!

According to Basket Data Scouting’s simulations here are the findings they have shared on social media:

I find in amazingly interesting that with 1 million simulations completed that the Probability to reach a playoff spot w/o tiebreaks for Fenerbahce and Partizan are so high!

Final take!

It’s worth noting that such predictions are not always 100% accurate and upsets can happen in basketball games. However, the fact that all four teams are consistently performing well, and are predicted to make the Final Four, is a testament to their skill, dedication, and teamwork. They have consistently demonstrated their ability to handle pressure situations and win crucial games, which is a crucial aspect of being a championship-caliber team.

If these teams continue to play at the same level of intensity and consistency, they will have a great chance of making it to the Final Four and potentially winning the championship. It will be interesting to see how the remainder of the regular season unfolds and how these teams will perform in the playoffs.

Sources

  1. Basket Data Scouting website: https://www.basketdatascouting.com/
  2. 3 Steps Basket website for EuroLeague standings: https://3stepsbasket.com/euroleague/standings
  3. 3 Steps Basket website for EuroLeague predictions: https://3stepsbasket.com/euroleague/predictions
  4. Basketball-Reference website for international basketball: https://www.basketball-reference.com/international/years/2023.html
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